The Innovation Show

Explore the depths of ancient wisdom and innovation on "Unlocking Ancient Wisdom: The Way of Innovation with Kaihan Krippendorff and Aidan McCullen."

"Strategic Mastery Unveiled: Decoding The Thirty-Six Stratagems with Prof. Kaihan Krippendorff" Description: Explore the fascinating world of strategic thinking with Professor Kaihan Krippendorff, a renowned Columbia Business School expert and OutThinker Network's founder. In this enlightening 4-part podcast series, Prof. Krippendorff delves into the timeless wisdom of The Thirty-Six Stratagems, an ancient Chinese text offering a toolkit for creative thinking in various contexts. Uncover the strategic brilliance of historical military geniuses like Genghis Khan, Alexander the Great, and Napoleon Bonaparte, who achieved victories through strength and creativity. Prof. Krippendorff shares how The Thirty-Six Stratagems, a compilation of metaphors, provides a comprehensive vocabulary of competition, unveiling unexpected plans for success in negotiations, mergers, and more since 2003. In Part 1, explore the origin story of The Thirty-Six Stratagems and gain insights into the first four laws, including the powerful

ChatGPT Welcome to the finale of the Theodore Modis podcast series. In this insightful episode titled "Conquering Uncertainty: Understanding Corporate Cycles and Positioning Your Company to Survive the Changing Environment," our guest, the author of "Conquering Uncertainty: Understanding Corporate Cycles and Positioning Your Company to Survive the Changing Environment," delves into the science of anticipating turning points in business with precision. The discussion explores the natural pattern of substitutions in markets, emphasizing the importance of understanding S-shaped patterns in transitions between products, services, and technologies. The podcast highlights the significance of recognizing low-growth periods during major business transitions and the pitfalls of wishful thinking in minimizing these phases. Drawing parallels to the natural seasons, the podcast breaks down the business cycle into Winter, Spring, Summer, and Fall/Autumn. Each season is characterized by unique challenges and oppor

In today's episode, we continue our exploration of the groundbreaking work of Theodore Modis as we delve into "An S-Shaped Adventure Part 3." In this installment, we tackle the concept of "Just-In-Time Replacement," a strategy near and dear to marketers' hearts. Discover the delicate balance between launching new products too closely together, potentially frustrating customers, and delaying replacements, risking a loss of market share to competitors. We explore the critical question: When is the optimal moment to introduce change in an ongoing natural growth process? We break down the science behind the "cascading S-curves," revealing the quantitative rule for achieving just-in-time product replacement. Explore how these nested S-curves influence industries, product families, and basic technologies, with each level sharing a common life cycle pattern but differing in duration. Delve into various scenarios, including the lifecycles of products, product families, basic technologies, and the overarching economy.

In today's podcast, we're delving deeper into the follow-up to the groundbreaking book, "Predictions: Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future." This sequel takes us on an exciting journey, offering a fresh perspective on understanding society and ourselves by employing scientific principles to forecast social phenomena. But that's not all; we're also tackling the daring task of revisiting the predictions made two decades ago and comparing them to real-world data—a step forecasters typically shy away from. And to sweeten the deal, this book introduces many new, relevant topics that have emerged recently. Stay tuned for an enlightening exploration of these intriguing insights! Find Theodore here: 00:00:00.355 Introduction and Recap of Part One 00:02:00.301 Growth Potential in China and India 00:10:23.649 Synthetic Rubber: Exceptional Growth During the War 00:12:32.440 Anticipating New Product Introductions and Disease Trajectories 00:15:45.440 Cardiovascular vs. Cancer: Competing

Today's book is a stand-alone sequel to "Predictions: Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future", which provided a new way of understanding society and ourselves by applying scientific concepts to predicting social phenomena. In addition to taking up the challenge of confronting the predictions made 20 years ago with actual data-something, forecasters generally refrain from doing so; the book includes many new topics that became relevant more recently.  00:00:00.013 Introduction to the book "Predictions: Twenty Years Later" 00:02:43.026 Theodore Modus shares his career transition and inspiration for writing 00:09:55.747 Natural Laws and Decision Making 00:14:03.796 The Primordial Growth Curve in the Universe 00:16:18.280 Applying the S-Curve Model to Organizations and Species 00:24:05.759 Auto Regulation: The Impact of Speed Limits on Accident Rates 00:25:36.619 Invariance: Stability in deaths and accidents 00:28:25.448 Expanding in space is natural and follows invariance 00:

In 2020, the World Economic Forum estimated that AI might destroy 85 million jobs by 2025. A 2022 study by the US Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that between 9 and 47% of jobs could be automated, particularly jobs requiring lower education levels or more routine tasks. Not surprisingly, workers, particularly low-skilled ones, perceive automation—specifically robots—as threatening their jobs. Fear and resentment toward job-stealing machines are not new. Throughout the series of overlapping industrial revolutions in history, many jobs were indeed diminished or replaced by machines. Yet, other jobs were created over time. Prof Yossi Sheffi shares his thoughts on the future of work and workers. We welcome back Professor Yossi Sheffi for the finale of our series on his book, "The Magic Conveyor Belt: Supply Chains, A.I., and The Future of Work."   00:00:00.000 The Impact of Automation on Jobs 00:02:39.488 The Fifth Industrial Revolution and Amplifying Human Creativity 00:03:46.708 Job Creation a

Part 2 covers the “Further Complexity and Challenges” of supply chains, and you explore how the last 50 years have added even more complexity. This part covers the rising demand for goods and the increasing consumer expectations for fast, perfect delivery services. 00:00:00.751 Introduction: Further Complexity and Challenges in Supply Chains 00:01:41.748 The Evolution of Industrial Revolutions 00:14:39.859 Short-term Focus of Wall Street and Cost Cutting 00:16:51.371 Ethical Companies with Veto Power in Supply Chain 00:19:05.497 Complexity of Supply Chain Leads to Lack of Transparency 00:22:18.074 The Hidden Structure of Supply Chains Revealed 00:22:58.371 Supplier Secrecy and Business Management 00:24:55.140 The Horsemeat Scandal: Lack of Awareness 00:26:35.611 IKEA's Past Controversies and Sustainability Efforts 00:29:55.209 The Function of Free Trade Zones 00:35:23.620 The Dilemma of Climate Change and Consumer Behavior 00:39:22.406 VUCA: Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity in Supply Chains

Today’s book explains why supply chains are complicated to operate (and getting more challenging!). Fortunately, future managers can employ a combination of suitably educated employees and digital technology to manage ever-higher complexity successfully. People and companies can use digital technologies to make themselves more efficient and more effective in addressing the expanding and changing needs of the planet. Our guest is the author of a 1985 textbook on transportation networks and eight management books dealing with supply chain resilience, sustainability, and industrial clustering; we welcome the author of The Magic Conveyor Belt: Supply Chains, A.I., and The Future of Work, we welcome Professor Yossi Sheffi.   00:00:00.067 The Challenges of Operating Supply Chains 00:03:23.626 The Complexity of Supply Chains and Appreciation for Efforts 00:05:21.979 The Complexity of Global Supply Chains 00:06:57.421 Complexity of Supply Chains in Automobile Industry 00:13:35.997 The Surprising Complexity of th

Gautam Mukunda is an internationally recognized expert in leadership and innovation. He often jokes that his life’s ambition is to have the world’s most confusing resume and that he’s most of the way there. Gautam is a Research Fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School’s Center for Public Leadership, Senior Advisor to America’s Frontier Fund, the author of Indispensable: When Leaders Really Matter (Harvard Business Review Press, 2012) and Picking Presidents: How To Make The Most Consequential Decision in the World (University of California Press, 2022), and the host of Nasdaq’s podcast World Reimagined with Gautam Mukunda. Gautam has been a professor at Harvard Business School and Distinguished Visiting Professor at Schwarzman College, Tsinghua University. He was Head of Research at Rose Park Advisors, a specialized investment firm founded by his mentor Clayton Christensen, that invests using the theories of disruptive innovation. He has published articles in Harvard Business Review, Foreign Policy, Security Studi

To truly profit from disruption, an enterprise must be prepared to manage increasingly short windows of profitability, scaling up rapidly as customers embrace the new all at once, then scaling down nearly as fast when demand declines. Paul Nunes is the global managing director for thought leadership at Accenture Research. He leads the company in developing ground-breaking insights into technology and strategic business change. He is co-author of three books, Big Bang Disruption: Strategy in the Age of Devastating Innovation, Jumping the S-Curve: How to Beat the Growth Cycle, Get on Top, and Stay There, and Mass Affluence: 7 New Rules of Marketing to Today’s Consumers. It has been an absolute pleasure learning from him.   00:00:00.256 Introduction and Overview of the Series Finale 00:11:25.254 Creating a Company that Values Innovators 00:16:20.936 Balancing Wall Street Expectations and Innovation Goals 00:18:31.172 Jeff Bezos' Approach to Investor Relations 00:21:14.030 Managing Wall Street vs Managing to

Pivot to the Future is for leaders who seek to turn the existential threats of today and tomorrow into sustainable growth, with the courage to understand that a wise pivot strategy is not a one-time event but a commitment to a future of perpetual reinvention, where one pivot is followed by the next and the next. Based on Accenture's own experience of reinventing itself in the face of disruption, the company's real-world client work, and a rigorous two-year study of thousands of businesses across 30 industries, Pivot to the Future reveals methodical and bold moves for finding and releasing new sources of trapped value-unlocked by bridging the gap between what is technologically possible and how technologies are being used. The freed value enables companies to reinvent their legacy and current and new businesses simultaneously. 00:00:00.256 Harnessing Disruption: A Strategy for Future Relevance 00:03:08.439 Extending the Horizons: Balancing Old, Now, and New Businesses 00:11:22.493 The importance of a vision

In keeping with the metaphor of astronomy’s Big Bang theory, Paul named the four stages of the shark fin after critical events in the creation and predicted the end of our known universe. Let’s get into the four stages: The Singularity, The Big Bang, The Big Crunch and Entropy. Paul unpacks the rules that prop up these four stages.   00:00:00.769 Introduction and Overview of "Four Phases of Big Bang Disruption" 00:03:14.786 Importance of Truth Tellers and Pinpoint Market Entry 00:11:11.771 From Idea to Product: Rapid Sales Success 00:15:34.394 The Importance of Being First in a Competitive Market 00:17:00.996 The concept of bullet time in movies explained 00:19:11.133 The need to anticipate how incumbents will slow time 00:20:34.611 The Strategic Thinking in Chess and Business 00:30:44.407 Recognizing Industry Shifts: The iPod and Toshiba Hard Drive 00:35:05.831 Phillips' Transition to LED Bulbs and Exiting the Lighting Business 00:38:39.902 Profiting from the Wreckage: Escape Your Own Black Hole 00:41:0

We continue our series with Paul Nunes. This is part 2 of Big Bang Disruption, where we dive into the Shark Fin and look at Nintendo, Regulation, Pinball and more. 00:00:00.000 The birth of a new company in the face of disruption 00:02:42.027 The impact of heavy regulation on industries and innovation 00:10:32.944 The value and promise of smart talent placement 00:14:05.668 The life cycle stages and business strategy adaptation 00:16:26.230 The shift from bell curve to shark fin curve in sales 00:19:26.977 Saturation and the importance of inventory management 00:21:47.284 The Challenge of Optimising Sales and Market Demand 00:24:22.756 Balancing Inventory and Strategic Shortages 00:25:35.386 The Challenge of Competitors in a Powerful Marketplace 00:30:08.325 The Impact of Production and Overproduction on Sales 00:34:41.138 The Challenge of Innovation and Versioning Problem 00:45:20.894 The Importance of Apple's Ecosystem and Interoperability

We have entered a fourth stage of innovation— the era of Big Bang Disruption. The new disrupters attack existing markets not just from the top, bottom, and sides but from all three at once. By tying their products to the exponential growth and falling costs of new technologies, their offerings can be simultaneously better, cheaper, and more customized. Not just for one group of users, but for all (or nearly all) customers. This isn’t disruptive innovation. It’s devastating innovation.   00:00:00.000 The Evolution of Innovation: Addressing Disruption 00:02:36.657 Three Styles of Innovation: Traditional, Cost, and Blue Ocean 00:06:23.894 Simplifying Business Strategies: Differentiation, Cost, and Customer Focus 00:07:20.966 The Challenge of Competing with Better Products 00:17:12.447 Leveraging cameras for innovative bottle tracking technology 00:19:56.153 The cost advantage of digital products and services 00:23:54.145 The phenomenon of better and cheaper innovation in various industries 00:26:44.172 The

Paul Nunes has found that what matters is not just climbing your current S-curve, which is what you do to reach the top of a single successful business. Instead, he emphasises the equal importance of the moves you must make to your next business: making the jump to your future S-curve. His book reveals crucial insights for making such transitions, including: * Why traditional strategic planning won't allow you to find the "big-enough" market insights that are critical to superior performance * Why your top team must be refreshed before performance starts to wane * Why you need much more talent than you think, especially "serious talent" that will find you worthy of their time We welcome back for Par 2, “Jumping the S-Curve: How to Beat the Growth Cycle, Get on Top, and Stay There”, Paul Nunes.   00:00:00.094 Introduction and Importance of Recognizing Stall Points 00:01:51.468 The Real Question: Where Are You in Your Products? 00:09:00.634 Shifting Focus from Cool Phone Features to Reliable Networks 00:12

Paul Nunes has found that what matters is not just climbing your current S-curve, which is what you do to reach the top of a single successful business. Instead, he emphasises the equal importance of the moves you must make to your next business: making the jump to your future S-curve. His book reveals crucial insights for making such transitions, including: * Why traditional strategic planning won't allow you to find the "big-enough" market insights that are critical to superior performance * Why your top team must be refreshed before performance starts to wane * Why you need much more talent than you think, especially "serious talent" that will find you worthy of their time We welcome “Jumping the S-Curve: How to Beat the Growth Cycle, Get on Top, and Stay There”, Paul Nunes.   In this episode, we discuss 00:00:00.000 Filling the Gap: Repeated Peaks of Business Performance 00:06:38.522 The Origin: Defining High-Performance Business 00:09:34.223 Kroger's Mistake: Not Investing in the Future 00:12:23.282

"Priorities are determined by the relative strengths of your needs in relation to the range of opportunities afforded by your current circumstances." - Mark Solms. In his book, "Homo Deus", Yuval Noah Harari explains that lawns offered no practical value - they weren't used for grazing animals or growing food. The size and neatness of the lawn became an undeniable symbol of status, a peacock display of wealth that couldn't be imitated. Devoting precious land or time to a lawn was unthinkable for peasants. For them, a 'lawn', if they had any, was not for relaxation but for survival, used to grow food. This historical nugget came to mind recently as I spoke to Neuropsychologist and author of 'The Hidden Spring', Mark Solms. Mark explains that needs and actions are interconnected and must be prioritized based on urgency. For example, we become aware of the need to go to the bathroom when it becomes urgent, a concept referred to as "latchkey urgency". This concept of prioritising needs also applies to organisatio

It is a pleasure to welcome the author of The Hidden Spring: A Journey to the Source of Consciousness, Mark Solms. In this episode, we unpack "The Hard Problem" and culminate on Mark's latest challenge: Making a Mind, where he and his team have built a conscious intelligence. 00:00:00.508 The Final Chapter: Exploring the Source of Consciousness 00:06:03.237 Understanding the Underlying Mechanism and the Free Energy Principle 00:12:35.699 Mechanism: Substrate-Independent and Irrelevant to Appearance 00:24:05.372 The cortex and brainstem: the wrong place to look 00:26:57.108 The mechanism of feeling predicts conscious experience 00:34:18.887 Making a Mind: Exploring Consciousness and Mechanisms of Feeling 00:42:00.900 Richard Feynman's Last Words: "If I can't create it, I don't understand it." 00:46:47.955 The Imperative for Artificial Intelligence: Maintaining Homeostatic States 00:47:39.085 The Functioning of the Robot and its Activities 00:52:53.276 The Final Chapter: Artificial Feelings and Ethical Consider

It is a pleasure to welcome the author of The Hidden Spring: A Journey to the Source of Consciousness, Mark Solms. In this episode, we talk about the brain's prediction system.   00:00:00.000 Introduction and Overview of the Chapter 00:03:30.388 Establishment of the Meteorology Department 00:11:59.546 The Fundamental Task: Minimizing Free Energy 00:15:43.370 Feelings: Connecting Us to Our Ancestors 00:19:36.790 Neglecting the inter-receptive and extra-receptive in cognitive science 00:22:30.002 The brain's attempt to contain environmental effects on the organism 00:31:32.675 Innate Predictions: Fear and Instinctual Behaviors 00:34:19.723 The Evolution of Responses and Predictive Model Complexification 00:42:59.118 The Brain: Ones and Zeroes, Predictions and Errors 00:54:18.834 The Brain as an Organization 00:59:57.338 Emotional Needs and Scripts