Sharkey, Howes & Javer

Inside the Economy: Consumer Debt, Inflation, Deflation, and S&P Earnings Growth

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Sinopse

This week on Inside the Economy, we address consumer debt, inflation and deflation across the U.S., and S&P earnings growth. The total consumer debt balance and its composition have not changed much for consumers aside from slight increases in mortgages since the post Covid period. On the other hand, balances by delinquency status have seen larger adjustments. Which source of debt has changed the most and why? Is the new data more of a normalization within the debt landscape? Inflation readings across the country show some disparity, largely driven by gasoline prices. Which areas are experiencing deflation? Technically, some metrics suggest markets may be overvalued based on earnings as measured by the price to earnings ratio. What was earnings growth in the fourth quarter of 2025, and how does that compare historically? Tune in to learn more.   Key Takeaways: ISM Service at 53.8 Head CPI Inflation at 2.4% (YOY) S&P 500 Earnings Growth at 11.9% (Q4 2025)