Exchanges At Goldman Sachs

The US consumer has powered the global economy in recent years, but are signs of strain starting to form? Goldman Sachs Research’s Chief US Economist David Mericle, and Kate McShane and Bonnie Herzog, co-business unit leaders of US consumer, discuss the outlook for consumer spending and the US retail sector.  For more information, listen to our Goldman Sachs Exchanges episode, Are inflation fears overblown? The outlook for inflation, US growth, and long-term rates or read Is US consumer spending losing momentum?

Ares Management’s Co-founder, CEO, and President Mike Arougheti shares his outlook for the economy and private markets, his evolution as a leader, and the firm’s path to building its prowess in private credit. 

Tech giants and beyond are set to spend an estimated $1 trillion on AI capex in coming years. Will this investment pay off? And if it doesn’t, what does that mean for businesses and investors? MIT’s Daron Acemoglu and Goldman Sachs Research’s Jim Covello explain why reality may not match the hype on the latest episode of Goldman Exchanges, which explores the latest Top of Mind report, Gen AI: too much spend, too little benefit?

Rising incomes and slowing electric vehicles sales are slowing the world’s transition away from oil. Goldman Sachs Research’s Daan Struyven and Nikhil Bhandari discuss the supply-and-demand drivers shaping the oil market and what they mean for investors and consumers. For more insights read Peak oil demand is still a decade away, Which commodities are the best hedge for inflation?, and Why are EV sales slowing?  

Can US stocks sustain their rally from here? Goldman Sachs Research’s David Kostin, chief US equity strategist, shares his outlook for equities for the second half of the year and the risks that could derail that rally.  For more information, read Stocks may extend their rally — but there’s value in diversification or listen to the Goldman Sachs The Markets podcast, where Goldman Sachs experts analyze the key market events each week, in under 10 minutes. 

Long-time large-cap growth manager Kathleen McCarragher of Jennison Associates speaks with Goldman Sachs’ Betsy Gorton about investing through multiple economic cycles, her perspectives on AI and growth opportunities, and her advice on building and leading teams. To hear from more Great Investors, check out: Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace on long-term investing, succession planning, and leadership lessons; Dimensional’s Founder and Chairman David Booth on being an index pioneer, working with Nobel laureates, and investing through uncertainty; KKR’s Henry Kravis on private equity, culture, and global markets. And for more on large-cap stocks, listen to: Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Are the largest US stocks too dominant? 

As two of Europe's three largest economies head to the polls, what are markets telling us about the political landscape? Goldman Sachs Research's Sharon Bell and George Cole explain how France's looming parliamentary elections are affecting French stocks and bonds, while UK financial markets have been relatively stable ahead of the country's general election.

Goldman Sachs’ Christian Mueller-Glissmann and Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo discuss their outlooks for asset classes and portfolios heading into the second half of the year, as well as medium- and longer-term asset allocation shifts investors might make to accommodate a more dynamic macroeconomic backdrop.

The demand for power, driven in part by the rise of generative artificial intelligence, is set to grow to levels not seen in a generation. Goldman Sachs Research’s Carly Davenport, Alberto Gandolfi, and Brian Singer discuss the drivers behind their forecast of a surge in global power demand and the investments required to meet that demand.  Related articles on AI include AI is showing ‘very positive’ signs of eventually boosting GDP and productivity and Generative AI could raise global GDP by 7%. For more: Goldman Sachs Exchanges.

The Federal Reserve has historically led a relatively synchronized monetary policy cycle across the major economies, but this cycle seems to be shaping up differently. Goldman Sachs' Chief Economist and Head of Goldman Sachs Research Jan Hatzius, Peter Praet, former chief economist of the European Central Bank, and Maurice Obstfeld, former chief economist of the IMF, discuss the implications of central bank divergence for economies and markets. This episode explores the latest Top of Mind report, Central Bank Divergence: Room to Run?

On this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Goldman Sachs Research’s Alex Blostein joins moderator Allison Nathan to discuss the challenges and opportunities facing the private equity industry. Nathan also speaks with Global Banking & Markets’ Mike Nickols and Gina Lytle who share their perspectives on the types of deals that are happening today.  For more, read Private Equity Inflection Point, a new report from Goldman Sachs Investment Banking, which explores the strategic and financing opportunities in the private equity industry. 

After better-than-expected economic data kicking off the year, and a blistering start for the equity market, where does China go from here? Goldman Sachs Research’s Hui Shan and Kinger Lau discuss the evolution of China’s economy and capital markets.

Is it possible to have a positive impact through investing without giving up on returns? Brian Singer of Goldman Sachs Research and Greg Shell of Goldman Sachs Asset Management discuss the long-term trends shaping impact investing and the investment opportunities in the space.

Goldman Sachs Research's Jari Stehn joins Charlotte Keenan of the firm's Office of Corporate Engagement to discuss the UK economy’s unique economic challenges, its path forward, and the role that small businesses can play in bolstering growth. To learn how the UK’s small businesses could help support the UK economy, read Generation Growth: The Small Business Manifesto.

Recent weakness in US Treasury bond auctions have become a focal point for markets. Goldman Sachs’ Jonny Fine and Alec Phillips discuss the implications for markets, yields, and fiscal deficits. And if you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy. 

The newest generation of GLP-1 drugs are being hailed by some as “miracle drugs” for the treatment of obesity. But GLP-1s are expensive, insurance coverage is limited, and not everyone with obesity can and or wants to take them. In this episode, which is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s latest Top of Mind report, obesity medicine physician Dr. Fatima Cody Stanford and Jonathan Gruber, professor of economics and chairman of the Economics Department at MIT, discuss how large the addressable market for GLP-1s actually is and the implications for US fiscal health.   If you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy. 

Goldman Sachs Research’s US Chief Economist David Mericle explains why worries over overheating inflation are overblown and why the outlook for US economic growth remains relatively strong. And if you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy. 

Where do the world’s largest investors see investment opportunities? Against a more constructive macroeconomic environment, insurers appear to be more willing to take on risk in their portfolios. Goldman Sachs’ Mike Siegel and Matt Armas discuss where insurers see opportunities and risks, and other findings from their 13th annual Global Insurance Survey.

Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace discusses the firm’s distinct investment process and culture, how he’s thinking about macro trends, and his lessons for leadership. Lovelace, whose grandfather Jonathan Bell Lovelace founded the firm in 1931, recently stepped down at the privately held firm as vice chair and president and continues as a portfolio manager. If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.    

The US stock market is more concentrated than it’s been in decades, with a small number of stocks accounting for an unusually large share of market capitalization. While it’s making some investors uneasy, Ben Snider, a senior strategist on the US portfolio strategy team in Goldman Sachs Research, and Peter Callahan, who covers the US technology, media, and telecommunications markets business in Global Banking & Markets, point out on Goldman Sachs Exchanges that these stocks' valuations reflect strong earnings. If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.